Current:Home > StocksThe case for a soft landing in the economy just got another boost -RiskRadar
The case for a soft landing in the economy just got another boost
View
Date:2025-04-25 21:57:45
Odds of a soft landing may have just gotten a little better.
The latest employment report from the Labor Department shows job growth held steady last month, boosting hopes that the Federal Reserve may be able to curb inflation without triggering a sharp jump in unemployment.
U.S. employers added 187,000 jobs in July. While job growth has moderated, it hasn't come close to stalling, even after the Fed raised interest rates to the highest level in 22 years.
Here are five takeaways from the report.
Keeping up with population growth
Over the last three months, employers have added an average of 217,000 jobs per month.
That's down from an average of 312,000 jobs in the first three months of the year, but it's still a healthy pace of growth.
Employers are still adding more than enough jobs each month to keep pace with population growth.
Health care, hospitality and construction were among the industries adding jobs in July, while factories and transportation saw modest job cuts.
Historically low unemployment
The unemployment rate dipped to 3.5% in July from 3.6% the month before. The jobless rate has hovered in a narrow range for more than a year, hitting a half-century low of 3.4% in April.
Unemployment among African Americans hit a record low of 4.7% that month before rebounding to 6% in June — raising some concerns. In a relief, the African American jobless rate dipped again in July to 5.8%.
It's best to take those numbers with a grain of salt. The figures can be noisy because of the relatively small sample size.
People are earning more
Here's another bit of positive news: Wages are finally outpacing inflation, boosting workers' buying power.
Average wages in July were up 4.4% from a year ago. Wage gains have moderated in the last year, but inflation has cooled as well, so workers' paychecks now stretch farther.
For the twelve months ending in June wages rose 4.4%, while prices climbed just 3%. (The inflation rate for the year ending in July will be released next week.)
Coming off the sidelines
The number of people working, or looking for work, increased by 152,000 last month.
Importantly, the share of people in their prime working years (ages 25-54) who are in the labor force is growing. After hitting a two-decade high in June, it fell just slightly last month.
That's important, because a growing workforce allows the economy to expand without putting upward pressure on inflation.
And it's good news for women
Before the pandemic, women briefly outnumbered men on U.S. payrolls.
The ranks of working women fell sharply in 2020, when schools and restaurants were shuttered and many women were forced to leave work to look after family members or for other reasons.
Women's share of jobs has been slowly recovering, however, thanks in part to job growth in health care and education — fields where women outnumber men. (In contrast, the male-dominated manufacturing industry lost 2,000 jobs last month.)
As of July, women held 49.9% of all payroll jobs, up from 49.8% the month before.
veryGood! (69951)
Related
- In ‘Nickel Boys,’ striving for a new way to see
- Let Your Reflection Show You These 17 Secrets About Mulan
- Environmental Justice Leaders Look for a Focus on Disproportionately Impacted Communities of Color
- Tom Brady, Justin Timberlake and More Stars Celebrate Father's Day 2023
- 'Survivor' 47 finale, part one recap: 2 players were sent home. Who's left in the game?
- 8 Simple Hacks to Prevent Chafing
- Donald Trump Jr. subpoenaed for Michael Cohen legal fees trial
- Maui Has Begun the Process of Managed Retreat. It Wants Big Oil to Pay the Cost of Sea Level Rise.
- FACT FOCUS: Inspector general’s Jan. 6 report misrepresented as proof of FBI setup
- Activists Eye a Superfund Reboot Under Biden With a Focus on Environmental Justice and Climate Change
Ranking
- Gen. Mark Milley's security detail and security clearance revoked, Pentagon says
- How Comedian Matt Rife Captured the Heart of TikTok—And Hot Mom Christina
- Ex-staffer sues Fox News and former Trump aide over sexual abuse claims
- Here's the latest on the NOTAM outage that caused flight delays and cancellations
- Nearly 400 USAID contract employees laid off in wake of Trump's 'stop work' order
- Rental application fees add up fast in a tight market. But limiting them is tough
- A woman is ordered to repay $2,000 after her employer used software to track her time
- Tom Brady, Justin Timberlake and More Stars Celebrate Father's Day 2023
Recommendation
What do we know about the mysterious drones reported flying over New Jersey?
Celebrity Makeup Artists Reveal the Only Lipstick Hacks You'll Ever Need
Bindi Irwin Shares How She Honors Her Late Dad Steve Irwin Every Day
If You're a Very Busy Person, These Time-Saving Items From Amazon Will Make Your Life Easier
Off the Grid: Sally breaks down USA TODAY's daily crossword puzzle, Triathlon
CEO predictions, rural voters on the economy and IRS audits
Russia has amassed a shadow fleet to ship its oil around sanctions
Trump’s Interior Department Pressures Employees to Approve Seismic Testing in ANWR